MLB7/4/2026
Scheduled
TIME:8:10 PM UTC
VENUE:
TOR logo
TOR
41-46.471
Away Team
Last5: W2L3
00
45-43.511
SEA
SEA logo
Home Team
Last5: W3L2

AI Game Overview

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the diamond. I’m thrilled to set the stage for what promises to be a mid-summer classic under the lights. On July 4th, as the fireworks prepare to ignite across the continent, we turn our eyes to the Pacific Northwest for a high-stakes clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Seattle Mariners.

This is a pivotal regular-season matchup that carries all the weight of a mid-summer playoff push. As we navigate the 2026 campaign, both the Blue Jays and the Mariners find themselves in the thick of the divisional grind. Toronto heads into Seattle looking to assert their dominance on the road, while the Mariners aim to defend their home turf and capitalize on the energy of a holiday crowd at T-Mobile Park.

While the oddsmakers are keeping their cards close to the vest—with moneyline, spread, and total figures currently off the board—the narrative here is crystal clear. In a season where every win is a building block toward October, this game is about momentum. We’re looking at two rosters built on grit, tactical pitching, and the ability to deliver in the clutch.

Whether it’s the Blue Jays’ offensive firepower or the Mariners’ ability to lock down games in the late innings, this 8:10 PM ET showdown is appointment viewing. Grab your popcorn, settle in, and get ready—because when these two clubs meet, the intensity is always turned up to eleven.

It’s Toronto. It’s Seattle. It’s Independence Day baseball. Let’s play ball!

AI Matchup Overview

AI Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEA

See detailed probability breakdown in the app

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Win Probability Charts

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The Seattle Mariners enter this matchup with a slight edge in the standings, holding a 45-43 record compared to the Toronto Blue Jays' 41-46 mark. Seattle has demonstrated superior run prevention, allowing 343 runs against their 357 scored, whereas Toronto has struggled with a negative run differential, having surrendered 383 runs while scoring 354. Looking at the recent head-to-head history from the 2025 season, the series was highly competitive and volatile, with both teams trading blowout victories and narrow decisions. Seattle has shown a tendency to capitalize on home-field advantage in recent meetings, though Toronto has proven capable of explosive offensive performances on the road. Given Seattle's more consistent pitching metrics and their current standing, they hold a marginal advantage in this contest.

Previous Matchups

2025Oct 21
SEA3
@
4TOR
2025Oct 20
SEA2
@
6TOR
2025Oct 17
TOR8
@
2SEA
2025Oct 17
TOR2
@
6SEA
2025Oct 16
TOR13
@
4SEA
2025Oct 13
SEA3
@
1TOR

Game Popularity

Based on social media tweets and mentions

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Betting Odds

Compare All Sportsbooks

Shop for the best lines across 11 sportsbooks to maximize your value.

FanDuel
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
TOR logo
-1.5+140
-124
O 7.5+102
SEA logo
+1.5-170
+106
U 7.5-124
Fanatics
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
TOR logo
-1.5+135
-125
O 7-115
SEA logo
+1.5-165
+105
U 7-105
BetRivers
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
TOR logo
-1.5+140
-134
O 7-112
SEA logo
+1.5-175
+108
U 7-112
MyBookie.ag
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
TOR logo
-1.5+130
-128
O 7-117
SEA logo
+1.5-154
+109
U 7-105
LowVig.ag
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
TOR logo
-1.5+146
-126
O 7-113
SEA logo
+1.5-165
+114
U 7-102
BetOnline.ag
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
TOR logo
-1.5+145
-126
O 7-115
SEA logo
+1.5-165
+114
U 7-105
DraftKings
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
TOR logo
-1.5+143
-131
O 7-117
SEA logo
+1.5-174
+109
U 7-103
Caesars
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
TOR logo
-1.5+140
-130
O 7-120
SEA logo
+1.5-165
+110
U 7+100
Bovada
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
TOR logo
-1.5+145
-130
O 7-120
SEA logo
+1.5-170
+108
U 7+100
BetUS
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
TOR logo
-1.5+144
-126
O 7-115
SEA logo
+1.5-165
+115
U 7-105
BetMGM
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
TOR logo
-1.5+140
-135
O 7-118
SEA logo
+1.5-170
+110
U 7-102

Current Season Games

TOR logoTOR

Wvs NYM9 - 3
Lvs NYM0 - 3
Wvs NYM2 - 1
Lvs TEX2 - 3
Lvs TEX4 - 7
Lvs TEX4 - 5
Lvs TEX5 - 6
Lvs HOU1 - 3
Lvs HOU7 - 9
Wvs HOU4 - 2
W@ CHC8 - 6
L@ CHC2 - 16
W@ BOS4 - 3
W@ BOS3 - 0
W@ BOS6 - 1
Lvs NYY3 - 8
Lvs NYY1 - 3
Wvs NYY8 - 5
Lvs PHI4 - 7
Wvs PHI3 - 2
Lvs PHI2 - 5
Wvs BAL6 - 4
Wvs BAL6 - 4
Lvs BAL3 - 13
W@ ATL7 - 2
L@ ATL3 - 7
L@ ATL3 - 4
L@ BAL5 - 9
L@ BAL5 - 6
W@ BAL6 - 5
W@ BAL2 - 1
Wvs MIA2 - 1
Wvs MIA8 - 1
Lvs MIA2 - 8
Lvs PIT1 - 4
Wvs PIT5 - 2
Wvs PIT6 - 2
W@ NYY2 - 0
W@ NYY2 - 1
L@ NYY4 - 5
L@ NYY6 - 7
W@ DET4 - 1
W@ DET2 - 1
L@ DET2 - 3
Wvs TB5 - 3
Lvs TB6 - 7
Lvs TB5 - 8
Lvs LAA1 - 6
Wvs LAA14 - 1
Wvs LAA2 - 0
L@ TB0 - 3
L@ TB3 - 4
L@ TB1 - 5
L@ MIN3 - 4
W@ MIN11 - 4
W@ MIN7 - 3
L@ MIN1 - 7
Wvs BOS8 - 1
Wvs BOS3 - 0
Lvs BOS0 - 5
Wvs CLE4 - 2
Wvs CLE5 - 3
Lvs CLE6 - 8
L@ LAA3 - 7
W@ LAA4 - 2
W@ LAA5 - 2
W@ ARI10 - 4
L@ ARI2 - 6
L@ ARI3 - 6
L@ MIL1 - 2
L@ MIL1 - 2
W@ MIL9 - 7
Lvs MIN2 - 8
Lvs MIN4 - 7
Wvs MIN10 - 4
Wvs LAD4 - 3
Lvs LAD1 - 4
Lvs LAD2 - 14
L@ CWS0 - 3
L@ CWS3 - 6
L@ CWS4 - 5
Lvs COL1 - 2
Wvs COL5 - 1
Lvs COL5 - 14
Wvs OAK5 - 2
Wvs OAK8 - 7
Wvs OAK3 - 2

SEA logoSEA

Wvs LAA1 - 0
Wvs LAA8 - 3
Wvs LAA6 - 2
L@ CLE5 - 6
L@ CLE3 - 4
W@ CLE3 - 1
L@ PIT1 - 5
L@ PIT1 - 11
W@ PIT3 - 2
Wvs BOS3 - 1
Lvs BOS1 - 5
Lvs BOS2 - 6
Wvs BAL3 - 0
Lvs BAL3 - 5
Wvs BAL3 - 1
L@ WAS1 - 10
L@ WAS3 - 8
W@ WAS10 - 2
L@ BAL5 - 7
L@ BAL2 - 7
W@ BAL6 - 5
W@ BAL6 - 3
L@ DET4 - 5
W@ DET4 - 0
L@ DET3 - 7
Lvs NYM1 - 7
Wvs NYM8 - 3
Wvs NYM3 - 2
Wvs ARI3 - 2
Wvs ARI5 - 1
Wvs ARI7 - 6
W@ OAK9 - 1
W@ OAK4 - 1
W@ OAK9 - 2
L@ KC6 - 8
L@ KC0 - 5
W@ KC2 - 0
Wvs CWS5 - 4
Lvs CWS1 - 2
Wvs CWS6 - 1
Lvs SD3 - 8
Lvs SD4 - 7
Lvs SD0 - 2
W@ HOU8 - 3
L@ HOU3 - 4
W@ HOU10 - 2
W@ HOU3 - 1
L@ CWS1 - 2
L@ CWS1 - 6
W@ CWS12 - 8
Wvs ATL3 - 1
Lvs ATL2 - 3
Wvs ATL5 - 4
Lvs KC1 - 4
Lvs KC2 - 3
Lvs KC6 - 7
W@ MIN5 - 3
W@ MIN7 - 1
L@ MIN4 - 11
W@ STL3 - 2
W@ STL11 - 9
W@ STL3 - 2
Wvs OAK5 - 4
Lvs OAK2 - 5
Lvs OAK4 - 6
Wvs TEX5 - 2
Wvs TEX7 - 3
Lvs TEX0 - 5
L@ SD2 - 5
L@ SD6 - 7
L@ SD1 - 4
Wvs HOU6 - 2
Wvs HOU6 - 1
Wvs HOU8 - 7
Wvs HOU9 - 6
L@ TEX0 - 3
L@ TEX2 - 3
L@ TEX1 - 2
L@ LAA7 - 8
L@ LAA0 - 1
W@ LAA3 - 1
Lvs NYY3 - 5
Lvs NYY0 - 5
Wvs NYY2 - 1
Wvs CLE8 - 0
Lvs CLE5 - 6
Wvs CLE5 - 1
Lvs CLE4 - 6

Previous Season Games

TOR logoTOR

Lvs LAD1 - 3
W@ LAD6 - 1
W@ LAD6 - 2
L@ LAD5 - 6
Lvs LAD1 - 5
Wvs LAD11 - 4
Wvs SEA4 - 3
Wvs SEA6 - 2
L@ SEA2 - 6
W@ SEA8 - 2
W@ SEA13 - 4
Lvs SEA3 - 10
Lvs SEA1 - 3
W@ NYY5 - 2
L@ NYY6 - 9
Wvs NYY13 - 7
Wvs NYY10 - 1
Wvs TB13 - 4
Wvs TB5 - 1
Wvs TB4 - 2
Wvs BOS6 - 1
Lvs BOS1 - 7
Lvs BOS1 - 4
W@ KC8 - 5
L@ KC1 - 2
L@ KC1 - 20
L@ TB0 - 4
L@ TB1 - 2
W@ TB6 - 5
W@ TB2 - 1
Wvs BAL11 - 2
Wvs BAL5 - 4
Wvs BAL6 - 1
Wvs HOU6 - 0
Lvs HOU2 - 3
Wvs HOU4 - 3
L@ NYY3 - 4
L@ NYY1 - 3
W@ NYY7 - 1
W@ CIN13 - 9
W@ CIN12 - 9
L@ CIN4 - 5
Wvs MIL8 - 4
Lvs MIL1 - 4
Lvs MIL2 - 7
Wvs MIN9 - 8
Lvs MIN5 - 7
Wvs MIN10 - 4
L@ MIA3 - 5
W@ MIA7 - 6
W@ MIA5 - 2
L@ PIT1 - 2
W@ PIT7 - 3
L@ PIT2 - 5
Lvs TEX4 - 10
Wvs TEX14 - 2
Wvs TEX6 - 5
Wvs CHC2 - 1
Lvs CHC1 - 4
Wvs CHC5 - 1
W@ LAD5 - 4
L@ LAD1 - 9
L@ LAD1 - 5
W@ COL20 - 1
W@ COL10 - 4
W@ COL15 - 1
Lvs KC4 - 7
Wvs KC4 - 2
Lvs KC3 - 9
W@ BAL9 - 8
L@ BAL2 - 3
L@ BAL4 - 16
L@ BAL4 - 11
L@ DET4 - 10
W@ DET6 - 1
W@ DET6 - 2
W@ DET11 - 4
Wvs NYY8 - 4
Lvs NYY4 - 5
Wvs NYY4 - 1
Wvs SF8 - 6
Wvs SF6 - 3
Wvs SF4 - 0
L@ OAK3 - 6
L@ OAK3 - 4
W@ OAK7 - 6
L@ CWS1 - 2
W@ CWS6 - 1
W@ CWS8 - 4
Wvs LAA3 - 2
Wvs LAA4 - 3
Wvs LAA4 - 3
Wvs NYY8 - 5
Wvs NYY11 - 9
Wvs NYY12 - 5
Wvs NYY5 - 4
W@ BOS5 - 3
L@ BOS1 - 15
W@ BOS9 - 0
W@ CLE6 - 0
L@ CLE4 - 5
W@ CLE10 - 6
Lvs CWS2 - 4
Wvs CWS7 - 1
Lvs CWS1 - 7
Lvs ARI5 - 9
Wvs ARI8 - 1
Wvs ARI5 - 4
L@ PHI4 - 11
L@ PHI2 - 3
L@ PHI0 - 8
W@ STL5 - 2
W@ STL10 - 9
W@ STL5 - 4
L@ MIN3 - 6
W@ MIN5 - 4
W@ MIN6 - 4
Wvs PHI9 - 1
Wvs PHI2 - 1
Lvs PHI3 - 8
Wvs OAK8 - 4
Wvs OAK8 - 7
Wvs OAK11 - 7
Wvs OAK12 - 0
W@ TEX2 - 0
L@ TEX0 - 2
W@ TEX2 - 1
L@ TB0 - 13
L@ TB1 - 3
L@ TB1 - 3
Wvs SD7 - 6
Wvs SD14 - 0
Wvs SD3 - 0
Lvs DET2 - 3
Wvs DET2 - 1
Lvs DET4 - 5
Lvs TB3 - 8
Wvs TB3 - 1
Lvs TB9 - 11
W@ SEA9 - 1
W@ SEA6 - 3
W@ SEA6 - 3
W@ LAA8 - 5
L@ LAA4 - 5
L@ LAA3 - 8
Lvs CLE4 - 5
Lvs CLE3 - 5
Wvs CLE5 - 3
Wvs BOS4 - 2
Wvs BOS7 - 6
Lvs BOS2 - 10
L@ NYY1 - 5
L@ NYY2 - 11
W@ NYY4 - 2
L@ HOU1 - 3
L@ HOU1 - 5
L@ HOU0 - 7
Lvs SEA3 - 8
Lvs SEA4 - 8
Wvs SEA3 - 1
Wvs ATL3 - 1
Wvs ATL6 - 3
Lvs ATL4 - 8
W@ BAL7 - 6
L@ BAL4 - 5
L@ BOS3 - 4
W@ BOS2 - 1
W@ BOS6 - 1
W@ BOS6 - 2
L@ NYM1 - 2
L@ NYM2 - 3
L@ NYM0 - 5
Wvs WAS4 - 2
Wvs WAS5 - 3
Wvs WAS5 - 2
Wvs BAL3 - 1
Lvs BAL5 - 9
Wvs BAL8 - 2
Lvs BAL2 - 12

SEA logoSEA

L@ TOR3 - 4
L@ TOR2 - 6
Wvs TOR6 - 2
Lvs TOR2 - 8
Lvs TOR4 - 13
W@ TOR10 - 3
W@ TOR3 - 1
Wvs DET3 - 2
L@ DET3 - 9
W@ DET8 - 4
Wvs DET3 - 2
Lvs DET2 - 3
Lvs LAD1 - 6
Lvs LAD3 - 5
Lvs LAD2 - 3
Wvs COL6 - 2
Wvs COL9 - 2
Wvs COL4 - 3
W@ HOU7 - 3
W@ HOU6 - 4
W@ HOU4 - 0
W@ KC2 - 0
L@ KC5 - 7
W@ KC12 - 5
Wvs LAA11 - 2
Wvs LAA5 - 3
Wvs LAA2 - 1
Wvs LAA7 - 6
Wvs STL4 - 2
Wvs STL5 - 3
Wvs STL4 - 2
W@ ATL18 - 2
W@ ATL10 - 2
L@ ATL1 - 4
L@ TB4 - 9
L@ TB5 - 6
L@ TB2 - 10
W@ CLE4 - 2
L@ CLE3 - 4
L@ CLE4 - 5
Wvs SD4 - 3
Lvs SD6 - 7
Wvs SD9 - 6
Wvs OAK11 - 4
Lvs OAK1 - 2
Wvs OAK3 - 2
L@ PHI2 - 11
L@ PHI4 - 6
L@ PHI7 - 12
L@ NYM3 - 7
L@ NYM1 - 3
W@ NYM11 - 9
L@ BAL3 - 5
L@ BAL3 - 4
W@ BAL1 - 0
Wvs TB6 - 3
Wvs TB7 - 4
Wvs TB3 - 2
Wvs CWS4 - 3
Wvs CWS8 - 6
Wvs CWS8 - 3
Wvs TEX5 - 4
Lvs TEX4 - 6
Wvs TEX4 - 3
Wvs TEX6 - 0
L@ OAK4 - 5
L@ OAK1 - 6
W@ OAK3 - 1
L@ LAA1 - 4
W@ LAA7 - 2
L@ LAA2 - 3
W@ LAA4 - 2
Lvs MIL2 - 10
Wvs MIL1 - 0
Lvs MIL0 - 6
Lvs HOU3 - 11
Wvs HOU7 - 6
Wvs HOU6 - 1
W@ DET8 - 4
W@ DET15 - 7
W@ DET12 - 3
L@ NYY5 - 6
L@ NYY6 - 9
L@ NYY3 - 10
Wvs PIT1 - 0
Wvs PIT1 - 0
Wvs PIT6 - 0
Lvs KC2 - 3
Wvs KC3 - 2
Lvs KC3 - 6
Wvs KC6 - 2
W@ TEX6 - 4
L@ TEX2 - 3
W@ TEX7 - 6
L@ MIN1 - 10
L@ MIN0 - 2
W@ MIN6 - 5
W@ MIN11 - 2
W@ CHC14 - 6
L@ CHC7 - 10
W@ CHC9 - 4
Lvs BOS1 - 3
Wvs BOS8 - 0
Lvs BOS0 - 2
Wvs CLE6 - 0
Wvs CLE4 - 3
Wvs CLE7 - 2
L@ ARI2 - 5
L@ ARI3 - 10
L@ ARI4 - 8
W@ LAA3 - 2
L@ LAA6 - 8
L@ LAA4 - 5
Lvs BAL3 - 4
Lvs BAL2 - 3
Lvs BAL1 - 5
Wvs MIN2 - 1
Wvs MIN5 - 4
Lvs MIN6 - 12
Lvs WAS3 - 9
Lvs WAS0 - 9
Wvs WAS9 - 1
L@ HOU3 - 5
L@ HOU1 - 2
W@ HOU5 - 3
L@ HOU2 - 9
W@ CWS6 - 5
L@ CWS0 - 1
W@ CWS5 - 1
W@ SD6 - 1
W@ SD4 - 1
W@ SD5 - 1
Lvs NYY2 - 3
Wvs NYY2 - 1
Lvs NYY5 - 11
Lvs TOR1 - 9
Lvs TOR3 - 6
Lvs TOR3 - 6
W@ OAK6 - 5
W@ OAK5 - 3
L@ OAK6 - 7
L@ TEX1 - 8
W@ TEX2 - 1
W@ TEX13 - 1
Wvs LAA9 - 3
Wvs LAA5 - 3
Wvs MIA7 - 6
Wvs MIA14 - 0
Lvs MIA4 - 8
W@ BOS4 - 3
W@ BOS8 - 5
L@ BOS3 - 8
W@ TOR8 - 3
W@ TOR8 - 4
L@ TOR1 - 3
W@ CIN11 - 7
W@ CIN5 - 3
L@ CIN4 - 8
Wvs TEX3 - 1
Wvs TEX9 - 2
Wvs TEX5 - 3
Wvs HOU7 - 6
Lvs HOU1 - 2
Wvs HOU4 - 3
L@ SF4 - 5
L@ SF1 - 4
L@ SF9 - 10
Wvs DET3 - 2
Lvs DET1 - 4
Lvs DET6 - 9
Wvs OAK2 - 1
Lvs OAK2 - 4
Lvs OAK0 - 7
Wvs OAK4 - 2