NYM vs MIA - MLB Betting Analysis

MLB • 9/8/2026

Scheduled

TIME:10:40 PM UTC

VENUE:

NYM

65-78.455

Away Team

13th in DivisionLast5: W4L1

0—0

72-72.500

MIA

Home Team

8th in DivisionLast5: W1L4

AI Game Overview

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the diamond. I’m thrilled to set the stage for what promises to be a pivotal clash under the lights this September.

On September 8th, 2026, the New York Mets head south to take on the Miami Marlins in a regular-season showdown that carries significant weight as we push toward the final stretch of the campaign.

As we look at the landscape of the 2026 season, both clubs are fighting for every inch of ground. The Mets arrive in Miami looking to assert their dominance and solidify their standing, while the Marlins—always a dangerous opponent on their home turf—are looking to play spoiler and climb the divisional ladder.

Now, I know you’re looking for the edge, but the oddsmakers are playing this one close to the vest. With the moneyline, point spread, and over/under currently off the board, the narrative isn't being written by the betting markets—it’s being written by the players on the field. This is a "clean slate" matchup where momentum, starting pitching depth, and late-inning execution will be the ultimate deciders.

Whether you’re a die-hard fan of the Amazins or a supporter of the Fish, this is the kind of mid-September baseball that separates the contenders from the rest of the pack. Grab your popcorn, settle in, and get ready—because when these two NL East rivals meet, the intensity is guaranteed.

It’s Mets. It’s Marlins. It’s baseball at its finest. Let’s play ball!

AI Matchup Overview

AI Projected Winner

MIA

See detailed probability breakdown in the app

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The Miami Marlins enter this matchup with a superior 72-72 record compared to the New York Mets' 65-78 standing. Miami has demonstrated better overall consistency, maintaining a positive run differential by scoring 631 runs while allowing 616, whereas the Mets have struggled defensively, surrendering 644 runs against 596 scored. While the Mets secured a decisive 9-4 victory in their most recent meeting on September 7, the season-long trend favors the Marlins' ability to keep games close and maintain a more balanced offensive and defensive profile. Given the Marlins' home-field advantage and their ability to hover around the .500 mark throughout the season, they are positioned to bounce back from the previous day's loss against a Mets team that has struggled to find rhythm in the standings.

Previous Matchups

2026Sep 8

NYM0

0MIA

2026Sep 7

NYM9

4MIA

2026Aug 2

MIA2

0NYM

2026Aug 1

MIA6

2NYM

2026Jul 31

MIA5

2NYM

2026Jul 30

MIA2

4NYM

Game Popularity

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Betting Odds

Compare All Sportsbooks

Shop for the best lines across 11 sportsbooks to maximize your value.

FanDuel

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

TOTAL

+1.5-192

+116

O 8-108

-1.5+158

-134

U 8-112

LowVig.ag

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

TOTAL

+1.5-176

+120

O 8-107

-1.5+155

-132

U 8-107

BetOnline.ag

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

TOTAL

+1.5-176

+120

O 8-110

-1.5+154

-132

U 8-110

Fanatics

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

TOTAL

+1.5-190

+115

O 8-110

-1.5+155

-140

U 8-110

MyBookie.ag

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

TOTAL

+1.5-187

+113

O 8-110

-1.5+157

-133

U 8-111

DraftKings

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

TOTAL

+1.5-184

+113

O 8-111

-1.5+152

-136

U 8-109

Caesars

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

TOTAL

+1.5-190

+120

O 8-110

-1.5+158

-130

U 8-110

Bovada

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

TOTAL

+1.5-185

+114

O 8-110

-1.5+160

-136

U 8-110

BetMGM

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

TOTAL

+1.5-185

+115

O 8-110

-1.5+150

-140

U 8-110

BetUS

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

TOTAL

+1.5-175

+120

O 8-110

-1.5+152

-132

U 8-110

BetRivers

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

TOTAL

+1.5-190

+114

O 8-110

-1.5+155

-134

U 8-109

Current Season Games

NYM

W@ MIA	9 - 4
Wvs SF	4 - 2
Lvs SF	5 - 9
Wvs SF	10 - 6
W@ TB	10 - 4
L@ TB	2 - 6
W@ TB	3 - 2
Lvs HOU	3 - 6
Wvs HOU	6 - 2
Lvs HOU	1 - 3
Lvs MIL	2 - 8
Lvs MIL	1 - 8
Wvs MIL	3 - 2
L@ CWS	1 - 2
W@ CWS	10 - 5
L@ CWS	4 - 6
Wvs SD	4 - 2
Lvs SD	2 - 5
Wvs SD	2 - 1
Wvs WAS	4 - 3
Wvs WAS	5 - 4
Wvs WAS	4 - 1
L@ ATL	3 - 6
L@ ATL	0 - 4
W@ ATL	8 - 5
W@ PIT	11 - 1
L@ PIT	0 - 9
W@ PIT	6 - 4
W@ CLE	13 - 6
W@ CLE	6 - 5
W@ CLE	6 - 2
Lvs MIA	0 - 2
Lvs MIA	2 - 6
Lvs MIA	2 - 5
Wvs MIA	4 - 2
Lvs ATL	0 - 1
Wvs ATL	3 - 2
Wvs ATL	14 - 3
Wvs LAD	8 - 3
Lvs LAD	3 - 4
Lvs LAD	2 - 4
L@ MIL	3 - 4
W@ MIL	4 - 0
L@ MIL	3 - 8
W@ PHI	6 - 1
L@ PHI	1 - 6
W@ PHI	4 - 1
Lvs BOS	2 - 3
Lvs BOS	0 - 4
Lvs BOS	2 - 6
Wvs KC	7 - 3
Wvs KC	6 - 2
Lvs KC	12 - 16
W@ ATL	7 - 6
W@ ATL	10 - 9
L@ ATL	3 - 14
L@ ATL	3 - 5
L@ TOR	3 - 9
W@ TOR	3 - 0
L@ TOR	1 - 2
Lvs PHI	4 - 5
Wvs PHI	6 - 2
Lvs PHI	1 - 2
Lvs CHC	3 - 4
Lvs CHC	5 - 10
Lvs CHC	3 - 10
Lvs CHC	6 - 9
L@ PHI	2 - 6
L@ PHI	3 - 15
W@ PHI	6 - 4
W@ CIN	9 - 1
L@ CIN	3 - 5
L@ CIN	0 - 12
Wvs ATL	8 - 1
Lvs ATL	1 - 3
Wvs ATL	7 - 5
Wvs STL	5 - 4
Lvs STL	2 - 9
Lvs STL	0 - 7
W@ SD	7 - 3
L@ SD	2 - 3
W@ SD	5 - 0
W@ SEA	7 - 1
L@ SEA	3 - 8
L@ SEA	2 - 3
Wvs MIA	10 - 1
Wvs MIA	6 - 1
Wvs MIA	9 - 7
Wvs CIN	4 - 2
Lvs CIN	2 - 7
Lvs CIN	2 - 7
L@ MIA	0 - 4
L@ MIA	1 - 4
L@ MIA	1 - 2
W@ WAS	2 - 1
L@ WAS	4 - 8
L@ WAS	6 - 9
W@ WAS	16 - 7
Wvs NYY	7 - 6
Wvs NYY	6 - 3
Lvs NYY	2 - 5
Wvs DET	9 - 4
Wvs DET	3 - 2
Wvs DET	10 - 2
L@ ARI	1 - 5
L@ ARI	1 - 2
W@ ARI	3 - 1
L@ COL	2 - 6
W@ COL	10 - 5
W@ COL	4 - 2
W@ LAA	5 - 1
L@ LAA	3 - 4
W@ LAA	4 - 3
Lvs WAS	4 - 5
Lvs WAS	2 - 14
Wvs WAS	8 - 0
Lvs COL	0 - 3
Lvs COL	1 - 3
Lvs COL	3 - 4
Wvs MIN	10 - 8
Wvs MIN	3 - 2
Lvs MIN	3 - 5
L@ CHC	1 - 2
L@ CHC	2 - 4
L@ CHC	4 - 12
L@ LAD	2 - 8
L@ LAD	1 - 2
L@ LAD	0 - 4
Lvs OAK	0 - 1
Lvs OAK	6 - 11
Lvs OAK	0 - 4
Lvs ARI	1 - 7
Lvs ARI	2 - 7
Wvs ARI	4 - 3
W@ SF	5 - 2
W@ SF	9 - 0
W@ SF	10 - 3
L@ SF	2 - 7
L@ STL	1 - 2
L@ STL	0 - 3
W@ STL	4 - 2
Lvs PIT	3 - 4
Wvs PIT	4 - 2
Wvs PIT	11 - 7

MIA

Lvs NYM	4 - 9
Wvs CHC	10 - 3
Lvs CHC	5 - 6
Lvs CHC	1 - 6
L@ KC	3 - 7
W@ KC	9 - 6
W@ KC	6 - 3
L@ WAS	3 - 6
W@ WAS	6 - 2
L@ WAS	4 - 5
L@ WAS	2 - 9
Wvs BOS	4 - 0
Lvs BOS	3 - 7
Lvs BOS	2 - 4
Wvs WAS	6 - 2
Wvs WAS	4 - 2
Wvs WAS	3 - 2
L@ PHI	1 - 4
L@ PHI	4 - 6
L@ PHI	5 - 6
W@ CIN	7 - 1
W@ CIN	8 - 4
L@ CIN	0 - 1
Lvs PIT	1 - 13
Wvs PIT	8 - 2
Wvs PIT	2 - 0
Wvs LAA	12 - 3
Wvs LAA	7 - 0
Lvs LAA	3 - 4
L@ ATL	3 - 11
L@ ATL	1 - 4
L@ ATL	2 - 4
W@ NYM	2 - 0
W@ NYM	6 - 2
W@ NYM	5 - 2
L@ NYM	2 - 4
Wvs PHI	8 - 6
Wvs PHI	1 - 0
Wvs PHI	8 - 7
Lvs SD	3 - 5
Lvs SD	2 - 7
Lvs SD	2 - 4
L@ HOU	2 - 5
L@ HOU	3 - 5
L@ HOU	5 - 8
L@ MIL	1 - 3
L@ MIL	6 - 8
L@ MIL	1 - 2
Lvs CLE	2 - 5
Lvs CLE	1 - 4
Lvs CLE	2 - 3
Wvs SEA	8 - 4
Wvs SEA	2 - 0
Wvs SEA	6 - 5
W@ OAK	9 - 8
W@ OAK	7 - 2
W@ OAK	12 - 5
L@ COL	4 - 14
L@ COL	3 - 6
W@ COL	14 - 3
W@ COL	10 - 7
L@ STL	1 - 2
W@ STL	5 - 1
W@ STL	4 - 0
Wvs TEX	4 - 2
Wvs TEX	6 - 4
Lvs TEX	3 - 4
Wvs SF	2 - 1
Wvs SF	6 - 3
Wvs SF	4 - 3
W@ PHI	12 - 4
L@ PHI	2 - 8
L@ PHI	0 - 7
W@ PIT	4 - 2
L@ PIT	2 - 3
W@ PIT	8 - 3
Wvs ARI	2 - 0
Wvs ARI	8 - 0
Wvs ARI	10 - 6
Wvs TB	4 - 1
Wvs TB	4 - 3
Lvs TB	0 - 6
W@ WAS	4 - 1
W@ WAS	7 - 3
W@ WAS	7 - 3
L@ NYM	1 - 10
L@ NYM	1 - 6
L@ NYM	7 - 9
L@ TOR	1 - 2
L@ TOR	1 - 8
W@ TOR	8 - 2
Wvs NYM	4 - 0
Wvs NYM	4 - 1
Wvs NYM	2 - 1
Lvs ATL	3 - 9
Lvs ATL	1 - 9
Lvs ATL	4 - 8
Wvs ATL	12 - 0
L@ TB	3 - 6
W@ TB	10 - 5
L@ TB	2 - 7
L@ MIN	1 - 9
W@ MIN	9 - 5
L@ MIN	0 - 3
Wvs WAS	5 - 2
Wvs WAS	8 - 7
Lvs WAS	2 - 3
Wvs BAL	4 - 3
Lvs BAL	4 - 7
Lvs BAL	7 - 9
Lvs PHI	0 - 1
Lvs PHI	2 - 7
Wvs PHI	4 - 0
Lvs PHI	5 - 6
W@ LAD	3 - 2
W@ LAD	2 - 1
L@ LAD	4 - 5
L@ SF	3 - 6
L@ SF	2 - 6
W@ SF	9 - 4
Wvs STL	4 - 1
Lvs STL	3 - 5
Wvs STL	5 - 3
Wvs MIL	5 - 3
Lvs MIL	2 - 5
Lvs MIL	5 - 7
L@ ATL	3 - 6
L@ ATL	-
W@ ATL	10 - 4
L@ DET	2 - 8
L@ DET	1 - 6
L@ DET	0 - 2
Wvs CIN	8 - 1
Wvs CIN	7 - 4
Lvs CIN	3 - 6
Lvs CIN	0 - 2
W@ NYY	7 - 6
L@ NYY	7 - 9
L@ NYY	2 - 8
Wvs CWS	10 - 0
Wvs CWS	9 - 2
Lvs CWS	4 - 9
Wvs COL	4 - 3
Wvs COL	4 - 3
Wvs COL	2 - 1

Previous Season Games

NYM

L@ MIA	0 - 4
W@ MIA	5 - 0
L@ MIA	2 - 6
W@ CHC	8 - 5
L@ CHC	3 - 10
W@ CHC	9 - 7
Lvs WAS	2 - 3
Lvs WAS	3 - 5
Wvs WAS	12 - 6
Wvs SD	6 - 1
Lvs SD	4 - 7
Wvs SD	8 - 3
Wvs TEX	5 - 2
Lvs TEX	2 - 3
Lvs TEX	3 - 8
L@ PHI	4 - 6
L@ PHI	3 - 11
L@ PHI	3 - 9
L@ PHI	0 - 1
L@ CIN	2 - 3
L@ CIN	3 - 6
W@ CIN	5 - 4
L@ DET	2 - 6
W@ DET	12 - 5
W@ DET	10 - 8
Lvs MIA	1 - 5
Lvs MIA	8 - 11
Wvs MIA	19 - 9
Lvs MIA	4 - 7
Wvs PHI	6 - 0
Wvs PHI	6 - 5
Wvs PHI	13 - 3
L@ ATL	3 - 4
W@ ATL	9 - 2
W@ ATL	12 - 7
L@ WAS	3 - 9
L@ WAS	4 - 5
W@ WAS	8 - 1
Wvs SEA	7 - 3
Wvs SEA	3 - 1
Lvs SEA	9 - 11
Lvs ATL	3 - 4
Lvs ATL	6 - 11
Wvs ATL	13 - 5
L@ MIL	6 - 7
L@ MIL	4 - 7
L@ MIL	2 - 3
Lvs CLE	1 - 4
Lvs CLE	2 - 3
Lvs CLE	6 - 7
Lvs SF	4 - 12
Wvs SF	12 - 6
Lvs SF	3 - 4
L@ SD	0 - 5
L@ SD	1 - 7
L@ SD	6 - 7
W@ SF	5 - 3
W@ SF	2 - 1
W@ SF	8 - 1
Wvs LAA	6 - 3
Wvs LAA	3 - 2
Wvs LAA	7 - 5
Wvs CIN	3 - 2
Lvs CIN	2 - 5
Lvs CIN	4 - 8
L@ KC	2 - 3
W@ KC	3 - 1
W@ KC	8 - 3
L@ BAL	3 - 7
L@ BAL	1 - 3
W@ BAL	7 - 6
Lvs NYY	4 - 6
Wvs NYY	12 - 6
Wvs NYY	6 - 5
Wvs MIL	3 - 2
Wvs MIL	7 - 3
Lvs MIL	2 - 7
L@ PIT	1 - 12
L@ PIT	2 - 9
L@ PIT	1 - 9
Wvs ATL	4 - 0
Wvs ATL	7 - 3
Lvs ATL	4 - 7
Lvs ATL	2 - 3
L@ PHI	1 - 7
W@ PHI	11 - 4
L@ PHI	2 - 10
L@ ATL	1 - 7
L@ ATL	0 - 5
L@ ATL	4 - 5
Lvs TB	0 - 9
Lvs TB	4 - 8
Lvs TB	5 - 7
Wvs WAS	4 - 3
Wvs WAS	5 - 0
Wvs WAS	5 - 4
W@ COL	13 - 5
W@ COL	8 - 1
W@ COL	4 - 2
L@ LAD	5 - 6
W@ LAD	6 - 1
L@ LAD	5 - 6
W@ LAD	4 - 3
Wvs COL	5 - 3
Wvs COL	8 - 2
Wvs COL	4 - 2
Lvs CWS	4 - 9
Wvs CWS	6 - 4
Wvs CWS	2 - 1
Wvs LAD	3 - 1
Wvs LAD	5 - 2
Lvs LAD	5 - 7
W@ BOS	5 - 1
L@ BOS	0 - 2
L@ BOS	1 - 3
L@ NYY	2 - 8
W@ NYY	3 - 2
L@ NYY	2 - 6
Lvs PIT	0 - 4
Wvs PIT	2 - 1
Wvs PIT	4 - 3
Wvs CHC	6 - 2
Lvs CHC	5 - 6
Wvs CHC	7 - 2
W@ ARI	7 - 1
L@ ARI	1 - 5
W@ ARI	5 - 4
L@ STL	4 - 5
L@ STL	5 - 6
W@ STL	9 - 3
Lvs ARI	2 - 4
Lvs ARI	3 - 4
Wvs ARI	8 - 3
W@ WAS	19 - 5
L@ WAS	7 - 8
W@ WAS	2 - 0
L@ WAS	4 - 5
Wvs PHI	4 - 3
Wvs PHI	5 - 1
Wvs PHI	5 - 4
Wvs STL	7 - 4
Wvs STL	3 - 0
Wvs STL	5 - 4
Wvs STL	4 - 1
L@ MIN	3 - 4
L@ MIN	3 - 6
W@ MIN	5 - 1
W@ OAK	8 - 0
L@ OAK	1 - 3
W@ OAK	7 - 6
Lvs MIA	0 - 5
Wvs MIA	10 - 5
Wvs MIA	2 - 0
Wvs TOR	2 - 1
Wvs TOR	3 - 2
Wvs TOR	5 - 0
W@ MIA	6 - 5
L@ MIA	2 - 4
W@ MIA	10 - 4
L@ HOU	1 - 2
W@ HOU	3 - 1
L@ HOU	1 - 3

MIA

Wvs NYM	4 - 0
Lvs NYM	0 - 5
Wvs NYM	6 - 2
L@ PHI	0 - 1
L@ PHI	1 - 11
W@ PHI	6 - 5
W@ TEX	4 - 2
W@ TEX	4 - 3
W@ TEX	6 - 4
W@ COL	9 - 7
W@ COL	8 - 4
W@ COL	6 - 5
Lvs DET	0 - 2
Wvs DET	6 - 4
Wvs DET	8 - 2
Wvs WAS	5 - 0
Wvs WAS	8 - 3
Lvs WAS	5 - 7
Lvs WAS	7 - 15
Wvs PHI	5 - 4
Lvs PHI	2 - 4
Lvs PHI	3 - 9
L@ WAS	5 - 10
L@ WAS	2 - 5
L@ WAS	0 - 2
W@ NYM	5 - 1
W@ NYM	11 - 8
L@ NYM	9 - 19
W@ NYM	7 - 4
Lvs ATL	1 - 12
Lvs ATL	2 - 11
Wvs ATL	2 - 1
Wvs TOR	5 - 3
Lvs TOR	6 - 7
Lvs TOR	2 - 5
Wvs STL	6 - 2
Lvs STL	4 - 7
Lvs STL	3 - 8
W@ BOS	5 - 3
L@ BOS	5 - 7
L@ BOS	1 - 2
L@ CLE	4 - 9
W@ CLE	13 - 4
L@ CLE	3 - 4
L@ ATL	1 - 7
L@ ATL	6 - 8
L@ ATL	1 - 7
W@ ATL	5 - 1
L@ ATL	6 - 8
Wvs HOU	6 - 4
Lvs HOU	3 - 7
Lvs HOU	2 - 8
Wvs NYY	7 - 3
Wvs NYY	2 - 0
Wvs NYY	13 - 12
W@ STL	2 - 0
W@ STL	5 - 0
L@ STL	1 - 7
L@ MIL	2 - 3
W@ MIL	7 - 4
W@ MIL	5 - 1
Wvs SD	3 - 2
Wvs SD	4 - 3
Lvs SD	1 - 2
Lvs KC	4 - 7
Wvs KC	3 - 1
Wvs KC	8 - 7
W@ BAL	11 - 1
W@ BAL	6 - 0
L@ BAL	2 - 5
L@ CIN	0 - 6
L@ CIN	2 - 7
W@ CIN	12 - 2
W@ CIN	5 - 1
Lvs MIL	1 - 3
Wvs MIL	4 - 2
Lvs MIL	5 - 6
Wvs MIN	4 - 1
Lvs MIN	1 - 2
Wvs MIN	2 - 0
W@ ARI	6 - 4
W@ ARI	8 - 7
W@ ARI	9 - 8
W@ SF	12 - 5
W@ SF	8 - 5
W@ SF	4 - 2
Wvs ATL	5 - 3
Lvs ATL	0 - 7
Wvs ATL	6 - 2
Lvs PHI	1 - 2
Lvs PHI	2 - 4
Wvs PHI	8 - 3
Lvs PHI	2 - 5
W@ WAS	3 - 1
W@ WAS	4 - 3
W@ WAS	11 - 9
L@ PIT	2 - 5
W@ PIT	3 - 2
L@ PIT	3 - 10
L@ TB	2 - 3
W@ TB	11 - 10
L@ TB	3 - 4
Lvs COL	2 - 3
Lvs COL	2 - 3
Lvs COL	4 - 6
Lvs SF	2 - 4
Wvs SF	1 - 0
Lvs SF	0 - 2
W@ SD	10 - 8
L@ SD	6 - 8
L@ SD	3 - 4
W@ LAA	3 - 0
W@ LAA	6 - 2
L@ LAA	4 - 7
Lvs CHC	1 - 2
Lvs CHC	1 - 14
Wvs CHC	8 - 7
Wvs TB	5 - 1
Lvs TB	0 - 4
Wvs TB	9 - 4
W@ CHC	3 - 1
L@ CHC	4 - 5
L@ CHC	2 - 5
L@ CWS	2 - 4
W@ CWS	3 - 1
L@ CWS	2 - 6
Lvs LAD	1 - 10
Wvs LAD	5 - 4
Lvs LAD	4 - 7
Lvs OAK	2 - 3
Wvs OAK	9 - 6
Lvs OAK	1 - 6
L@ LAD	7 - 12
L@ LAD	2 - 15
L@ LAD	6 - 7
L@ SEA	6 - 7
L@ SEA	0 - 14
W@ SEA	8 - 4
Lvs CIN	2 - 5
Wvs CIN	4 - 3
Wvs CIN	6 - 3
W@ PHI	7 - 5
L@ PHI	10 - 11
L@ PHI	2 - 7
Lvs ARI	4 - 6
Lvs ARI	2 - 6
Lvs ARI	4 - 10
Wvs WAS	11 - 4
Wvs WAS	7 - 6
Lvs WAS	4 - 7
W@ NYM	5 - 0
L@ NYM	5 - 10
L@ NYM	0 - 2
W@ ATL	4 - 0
L@ ATL	0 - 10
Lvs NYM	5 - 6
Wvs NYM	4 - 2
Lvs NYM	4 - 10
Wvs PIT	3 - 2
Wvs PIT	5 - 4
Lvs PIT	3 - 4
Wvs PIT	5 - 4