AI Game Overview
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the diamond. I’m thrilled to break down a mid-summer clash that has the baseball world buzzing. On July 29th, 2026, we head down to the Sunshine State as the Philadelphia Phillies travel to face the Miami Marlins in a pivotal National League showdown.
As we navigate the heart of the 2026 MLB regular season, every game carries the weight of October aspirations. The Phillies arrive in Miami looking to assert their dominance in the division, while the Marlins are eager to defend their home turf and prove they have the grit to take down a heavyweight contender.
Now, I know you’re looking for the edge—the numbers that tell the story before the first pitch is thrown. Interestingly, as we sit here today, the oddsmakers are keeping their cards close to the vest. With the moneyline, point spread, and over/under currently undefined, the betting markets are signaling a "wait and see" approach. This tells me one thing: the uncertainty surrounding the starting pitching matchups or potential lineup adjustments has the experts holding their breath.
What we do know is that the atmosphere in Miami will be electric. Whether you’re a fan of the Phillies’ high-octane offense or the Marlins’ tactical approach to the game, this matchup is a must-watch. Keep your eyes glued to the injury reports and the official lineup cards as we approach first pitch at 4:10 PM.
It’s Philadelphia versus Miami—a classic NL battle where the only thing more intense than the summer heat will be the action on the field. Don't blink; you won't want to miss a single inning of this one!
AI Matchup Overview
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Win Probability Charts
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The Philadelphia Phillies enter this matchup with a 56-47 record, holding a slight edge in the standings over the 52-51 Miami Marlins. While the Phillies have a better overall winning percentage, the run differential tells a different story; the Marlins have actually outscored their opponents by 11 runs this season, whereas the Phillies have been outscored by 15. Recent head-to-head history shows significant volatility, highlighted by a high-scoring 12-4 victory for Miami in their most recent meeting on June 17, 2026, which followed two consecutive wins for Philadelphia. Given that the Marlins have maintained a positive run differential and are playing on their home turf, they remain a dangerous opponent capable of exploiting the Phillies' recent defensive lapses. Expect a tightly contested game where the outcome will likely hinge on which pitching staff can better contain the opposing lineup, as both teams have shown the ability to put up runs in bunches during their 2026 series.
Previous Matchups
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Betting Odds
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Current Season Games
PHI
| Lvs LAD | 5 - 9 |
| Lvs LAD | 1 - 2 |
| Wvs LAD | 10 - 7 |
| Lvs NYM | 1 - 6 |
| Wvs NYM | 6 - 1 |
| Lvs NYM | 1 - 4 |
| W@ DET | 5 - 0 |
| W@ DET | 4 - 2 |
| L@ DET | 2 - 10 |
| W@ CIN | 1 - 0 |
| L@ CIN | 5 - 11 |
| W@ CIN | 4 - 1 |
| L@ KC | 1 - 15 |
| L@ KC | 2 - 5 |
| W@ KC | 6 - 1 |
| Lvs PIT | 1 - 6 |
| Wvs PIT | 10 - 6 |
| Wvs PIT | 8 - 0 |
| Lvs PIT | 7 - 11 |
| W@ NYM | 5 - 4 |
| L@ NYM | 2 - 6 |
| W@ NYM | 2 - 1 |
| W@ WAS | 10 - 5 |
| W@ WAS | 5 - 4 |
| W@ WAS | 14 - 9 |
| L@ WAS | 1 - 4 |
| Wvs NYM | 6 - 2 |
| Wvs NYM | 15 - 3 |
| Lvs NYM | 4 - 6 |
| Lvs MIA | 4 - 12 |
| Wvs MIA | 8 - 2 |
| Wvs MIA | 7 - 0 |
| L@ MIL | 0 - 4 |
| W@ MIL | 9 - 8 |
| L@ MIL | 0 - 6 |
| W@ TOR | 7 - 4 |
| L@ TOR | 2 - 3 |
| W@ TOR | 5 - 2 |
| Wvs CWS | 9 - 5 |
| Lvs CWS | 3 - 6 |
| Wvs CWS | 8 - 6 |
| Wvs SD | 6 - 4 |
| Wvs SD | 3 - 2 |
| Wvs SD | 3 - 2 |
| L@ LAD | 1 - 9 |
| W@ LAD | 4 - 3 |
| L@ LAD | 2 - 4 |
| W@ SD | 3 - 0 |
| W@ SD | 4 - 3 |
| W@ SD | 3 - 0 |
| Lvs CLE | 1 - 3 |
| Wvs CLE | 3 - 0 |
| Lvs CLE | 0 - 1 |
| Lvs CIN | 4 - 9 |
| Lvs CIN | 1 - 4 |
| Wvs CIN | 5 - 4 |
| W@ PIT | 6 - 0 |
| W@ PIT | 6 - 0 |
| W@ PIT | 11 - 9 |
| W@ BOS | 3 - 1 |
| L@ BOS | 1 - 3 |
| W@ BOS | 2 - 1 |
| Wvs COL | 6 - 0 |
| Wvs COL | 9 - 3 |
| Lvs COL | 7 - 9 |
| Lvs OAK | 1 - 12 |
| Wvs OAK | 6 - 3 |
| Wvs OAK | 9 - 1 |
| W@ MIA | 1 - 0 |
| W@ MIA | 7 - 2 |
| L@ MIA | 0 - 4 |
| W@ MIA | 6 - 5 |
| Wvs SF | 6 - 5 |
| Wvs SF | 3 - 2 |
| Wvs SF | 7 - 0 |
| L@ ATL | 2 - 6 |
| W@ ATL | 8 - 5 |
| L@ ATL | 3 - 5 |
| L@ CHC | 7 - 8 |
| L@ CHC | 2 - 7 |
| L@ CHC | 4 - 7 |
| L@ CHC | 1 - 5 |
| Lvs ATL | 2 - 4 |
| Lvs ATL | 1 - 3 |
| Lvs ATL | 0 - 9 |
| Lvs CHC | 2 - 11 |
| Lvs CHC | 4 - 10 |
| Wvs CHC | 13 - 7 |
| Lvs ARI | 3 - 4 |
| Wvs ARI | 4 - 3 |
| Lvs ARI | 4 - 5 |
| L@ SF | 0 - 5 |
| L@ SF | 0 - 6 |
| W@ SF | 6 - 4 |
| L@ COL | 1 - 4 |
| W@ COL | 2 - 1 |
| W@ COL | 10 - 1 |
| Wvs WAS | 6 - 5 |
| Wvs WAS | 3 - 2 |
| Lvs WAS | 2 - 13 |
| Lvs TEX | 3 - 8 |
| Lvs TEX | 4 - 5 |
| Wvs TEX | 5 - 3 |
MIA
| L@ HOU | 2 - 5 |
| L@ HOU | 3 - 5 |
| L@ HOU | 5 - 8 |
| L@ MIL | 1 - 3 |
| L@ MIL | 6 - 8 |
| L@ MIL | 1 - 2 |
| Lvs CLE | 2 - 5 |
| Lvs CLE | 1 - 4 |
| Lvs CLE | 2 - 3 |
| Wvs SEA | 8 - 4 |
| Wvs SEA | 2 - 0 |
| Wvs SEA | 6 - 5 |
| W@ OAK | 9 - 8 |
| W@ OAK | 7 - 2 |
| W@ OAK | 12 - 5 |
| L@ COL | 4 - 14 |
| L@ COL | 3 - 6 |
| W@ COL | 14 - 3 |
| W@ COL | 10 - 7 |
| L@ STL | 1 - 2 |
| W@ STL | 5 - 1 |
| W@ STL | 4 - 0 |
| Wvs TEX | 4 - 2 |
| Wvs TEX | 6 - 4 |
| Lvs TEX | 3 - 4 |
| Wvs SF | 2 - 1 |
| Wvs SF | 6 - 3 |
| Wvs SF | 4 - 3 |
| W@ PHI | 12 - 4 |
| L@ PHI | 2 - 8 |
| L@ PHI | 0 - 7 |
| W@ PIT | 4 - 2 |
| L@ PIT | 2 - 3 |
| W@ PIT | 8 - 3 |
| Wvs ARI | 2 - 0 |
| Wvs ARI | 8 - 0 |
| Wvs ARI | 10 - 6 |
| Wvs TB | 4 - 1 |
| Wvs TB | 4 - 3 |
| Lvs TB | 0 - 6 |
| W@ WAS | 4 - 1 |
| W@ WAS | 7 - 3 |
| W@ WAS | 7 - 3 |
| L@ NYM | 1 - 10 |
| L@ NYM | 1 - 6 |
| L@ NYM | 7 - 9 |
| L@ TOR | 1 - 2 |
| L@ TOR | 1 - 8 |
| W@ TOR | 8 - 2 |
| Wvs NYM | 4 - 0 |
| Wvs NYM | 4 - 1 |
| Wvs NYM | 2 - 1 |
| Lvs ATL | 3 - 9 |
| Lvs ATL | 1 - 9 |
| Lvs ATL | 4 - 8 |
| Wvs ATL | 12 - 0 |
| L@ TB | 3 - 6 |
| W@ TB | 10 - 5 |
| L@ TB | 2 - 7 |
| L@ MIN | 1 - 9 |
| W@ MIN | 9 - 5 |
| L@ MIN | 0 - 3 |
| Wvs WAS | 5 - 2 |
| Wvs WAS | 8 - 7 |
| Lvs WAS | 2 - 3 |
| Wvs BAL | 4 - 3 |
| Lvs BAL | 4 - 7 |
| Lvs BAL | 7 - 9 |
| Lvs PHI | 0 - 1 |
| Lvs PHI | 2 - 7 |
| Wvs PHI | 4 - 0 |
| Lvs PHI | 5 - 6 |
| W@ LAD | 3 - 2 |
| W@ LAD | 2 - 1 |
| L@ LAD | 4 - 5 |
| L@ SF | 3 - 6 |
| L@ SF | 2 - 6 |
| W@ SF | 9 - 4 |
| Wvs STL | 4 - 1 |
| Lvs STL | 3 - 5 |
| Wvs STL | 5 - 3 |
| Wvs MIL | 5 - 3 |
| Lvs MIL | 2 - 5 |
| Lvs MIL | 5 - 7 |
| L@ ATL | 3 - 6 |
| L@ ATL | - |
| W@ ATL | 10 - 4 |
| L@ DET | 2 - 8 |
| L@ DET | 1 - 6 |
| L@ DET | 0 - 2 |
| Wvs CIN | 8 - 1 |
| Wvs CIN | 7 - 4 |
| Lvs CIN | 3 - 6 |
| Lvs CIN | 0 - 2 |
| W@ NYY | 7 - 6 |
| L@ NYY | 7 - 9 |
| L@ NYY | 2 - 8 |
| Wvs CWS | 10 - 0 |
| Wvs CWS | 9 - 2 |
| Lvs CWS | 4 - 9 |
| Wvs COL | 4 - 3 |
| Wvs COL | 4 - 3 |
| Wvs COL | 2 - 1 |
Previous Season Games
PHI
| L@ LAD | 1 - 2 |
| W@ LAD | 8 - 2 |
| Lvs LAD | 3 - 4 |
| Lvs LAD | 3 - 5 |
| Wvs MIN | 2 - 1 |
| Lvs MIN | 0 - 5 |
| Wvs MIN | 3 - 1 |
| Wvs MIA | 1 - 0 |
| Wvs MIA | 11 - 1 |
| Lvs MIA | 5 - 6 |
| L@ ARI | 2 - 9 |
| L@ ARI | 3 - 4 |
| W@ ARI | 8 - 2 |
| L@ LAD | 0 - 5 |
| W@ LAD | 9 - 6 |
| W@ LAD | 6 - 5 |
| Lvs KC | 3 - 10 |
| Wvs KC | 8 - 6 |
| Wvs KC | 8 - 2 |
| Wvs NYM | 6 - 4 |
| Wvs NYM | 11 - 3 |
| Wvs NYM | 9 - 3 |
| Wvs NYM | 1 - 0 |
| L@ MIA | 4 - 5 |
| W@ MIA | 4 - 2 |
| W@ MIA | 9 - 3 |
| W@ MIL | 2 - 0 |
| L@ MIL | 3 - 6 |
| W@ MIL | 10 - 8 |
| Lvs ATL | 1 - 3 |
| Wvs ATL | 3 - 2 |
| Wvs ATL | 2 - 1 |
| Wvs ATL | 19 - 4 |
| L@ NYM | 0 - 6 |
| L@ NYM | 5 - 6 |
| L@ NYM | 3 - 13 |
| Wvs WAS | 3 - 2 |
| Wvs WAS | 6 - 4 |
| Lvs WAS | 4 - 5 |
| Wvs SEA | 11 - 2 |
| Wvs SEA | 6 - 4 |
| Wvs SEA | 12 - 7 |
| W@ WAS | 11 - 9 |
| L@ WAS | 0 - 2 |
| W@ WAS | 6 - 2 |
| L@ WAS | 2 - 3 |
| L@ CIN | 0 - 8 |
| L@ CIN | 1 - 6 |
| W@ CIN | 4 - 1 |
| W@ TEX | 4 - 2 |
| W@ TEX | 3 - 2 |
| W@ TEX | 9 - 1 |
| Lvs BAL | 1 - 5 |
| Wvs BAL | 5 - 0 |
| Wvs BAL | 13 - 3 |
| Wvs DET | 2 - 0 |
| Lvs DET | 5 - 7 |
| Wvs DET | 5 - 4 |
| L@ CWS | 3 - 9 |
| W@ CWS | 6 - 3 |
| L@ CWS | 2 - 6 |
| L@ NYY | 3 - 4 |
| W@ NYY | 9 - 4 |
| W@ NYY | 12 - 5 |
| Lvs BOS | 8 - 9 |
| Wvs BOS | 4 - 1 |
| Wvs BOS | 3 - 2 |
| Lvs LAA | 2 - 8 |
| Wvs LAA | 9 - 5 |
| Lvs LAA | 5 - 6 |
| W@ SD | 2 - 1 |
| L@ SD | 4 - 5 |
| L@ SD | 2 - 4 |
| W@ SF | 13 - 0 |
| L@ SF | 3 - 4 |
| L@ SF | 1 - 3 |
| Wvs CIN | 3 - 1 |
| Wvs CIN | 5 - 1 |
| Lvs CIN | 6 - 9 |
| Wvs SD | 5 - 1 |
| Lvs SD | 4 - 6 |
| Wvs SD | 4 - 0 |
| W@ ATL | 2 - 1 |
| L@ ATL | 1 - 6 |
| W@ ATL | 13 - 0 |
| L@ HOU | 1 - 2 |
| L@ HOU | 0 - 2 |
| L@ HOU | 0 - 1 |
| Wvs NYM | 7 - 1 |
| Lvs NYM | 4 - 11 |
| Wvs NYM | 10 - 2 |
| W@ MIA | 2 - 1 |
| W@ MIA | 4 - 2 |
| L@ MIA | 3 - 8 |
| W@ MIA | 5 - 2 |
| Wvs TOR | 11 - 4 |
| Wvs TOR | 3 - 2 |
| Wvs TOR | 8 - 0 |
| Wvs CHC | 7 - 2 |
| Lvs CHC | 4 - 8 |
| Wvs CHC | 4 - 3 |
| L@ PIT | 1 - 2 |
| L@ PIT | 1 - 2 |
| L@ PIT | 4 - 5 |
| L@ TOR | 1 - 9 |
| L@ TOR | 1 - 2 |
| W@ TOR | 8 - 3 |
| Lvs MIL | 2 - 5 |
| Lvs MIL | 7 - 17 |
| Lvs MIL | 2 - 6 |
| Lvs ATL | 3 - 9 |
| Wvs ATL | 5 - 4 |
| Wvs ATL | 2 - 0 |
| L@ OAK | 4 - 5 |
| W@ OAK | 9 - 6 |
| W@ OAK | 4 - 3 |
| W@ COL | 2 - 0 |
| W@ COL | 9 - 5 |
| W@ COL | 7 - 4 |
| W@ COL | 9 - 3 |
| Wvs PIT | 1 - 0 |
| Wvs PIT | 5 - 2 |
| Wvs PIT | 8 - 4 |
| Lvs STL | 7 - 14 |
| Wvs STL | 2 - 1 |
| Lvs STL | 2 - 3 |
| W@ CLE | 3 - 0 |
| W@ CLE | 7 - 1 |
| L@ CLE | 0 - 6 |
| W@ TB | 7 - 6 |
| W@ TB | 7 - 0 |
| W@ TB | 8 - 4 |
| Lvs ARI | 9 - 11 |
| Wvs ARI | 7 - 2 |
| Wvs ARI | 3 - 2 |
| Lvs WAS | 2 - 4 |
| Wvs WAS | 7 - 2 |
| Wvs WAS | 7 - 6 |
| W@ CHC | 3 - 1 |
| W@ CHC | 10 - 4 |
| L@ CHC | 0 - 4 |
| L@ NYM | 3 - 4 |
| L@ NYM | 1 - 5 |
| L@ NYM | 4 - 5 |
| Lvs MIA | 5 - 7 |
| Wvs MIA | 11 - 10 |
| Wvs MIA | 7 - 2 |
| Wvs SF | 6 - 4 |
| Lvs SF | 4 - 11 |
| Wvs SF | 6 - 4 |
| Lvs SF | 4 - 10 |
| L@ STL | 0 - 7 |
| W@ STL | 4 - 1 |
| L@ STL | 0 - 2 |
| L@ ATL | 2 - 4 |
| W@ ATL | 4 - 3 |
| L@ ATL | 5 - 7 |
| Wvs LAD | 8 - 7 |
| Lvs LAD | 1 - 3 |
| Wvs LAD | 3 - 2 |
| Wvs COL | 3 - 1 |
| Wvs COL | 5 - 1 |
| Wvs COL | 6 - 1 |
| L@ WAS | 1 - 5 |
| W@ WAS | 11 - 6 |
| W@ WAS | 7 - 3 |
MIA
| Wvs NYM | 4 - 0 |
| Lvs NYM | 0 - 5 |
| Wvs NYM | 6 - 2 |
| L@ PHI | 0 - 1 |
| L@ PHI | 1 - 11 |
| W@ PHI | 6 - 5 |
| W@ TEX | 4 - 2 |
| W@ TEX | 4 - 3 |
| W@ TEX | 6 - 4 |
| W@ COL | 9 - 7 |
| W@ COL | 8 - 4 |
| W@ COL | 6 - 5 |
| Lvs DET | 0 - 2 |
| Wvs DET | 6 - 4 |
| Wvs DET | 8 - 2 |
| Wvs WAS | 5 - 0 |
| Wvs WAS | 8 - 3 |
| Lvs WAS | 5 - 7 |
| Lvs WAS | 7 - 15 |
| Wvs PHI | 5 - 4 |
| Lvs PHI | 2 - 4 |
| Lvs PHI | 3 - 9 |
| L@ WAS | 5 - 10 |
| L@ WAS | 2 - 5 |
| L@ WAS | 0 - 2 |
| W@ NYM | 5 - 1 |
| W@ NYM | 11 - 8 |
| L@ NYM | 9 - 19 |
| W@ NYM | 7 - 4 |
| Lvs ATL | 1 - 12 |
| Lvs ATL | 2 - 11 |
| Wvs ATL | 2 - 1 |
| Wvs TOR | 5 - 3 |
| Lvs TOR | 6 - 7 |
| Lvs TOR | 2 - 5 |
| Wvs STL | 6 - 2 |
| Lvs STL | 4 - 7 |
| Lvs STL | 3 - 8 |
| W@ BOS | 5 - 3 |
| L@ BOS | 5 - 7 |
| L@ BOS | 1 - 2 |
| L@ CLE | 4 - 9 |
| W@ CLE | 13 - 4 |
| L@ CLE | 3 - 4 |
| L@ ATL | 1 - 7 |
| L@ ATL | 6 - 8 |
| L@ ATL | 1 - 7 |
| W@ ATL | 5 - 1 |
| L@ ATL | 6 - 8 |
| Wvs HOU | 6 - 4 |
| Lvs HOU | 3 - 7 |
| Lvs HOU | 2 - 8 |
| Wvs NYY | 7 - 3 |
| Wvs NYY | 2 - 0 |
| Wvs NYY | 13 - 12 |
| W@ STL | 2 - 0 |
| W@ STL | 5 - 0 |
| L@ STL | 1 - 7 |
| L@ MIL | 2 - 3 |
| W@ MIL | 7 - 4 |
| W@ MIL | 5 - 1 |
| Wvs SD | 3 - 2 |
| Wvs SD | 4 - 3 |
| Lvs SD | 1 - 2 |
| Lvs KC | 4 - 7 |
| Wvs KC | 3 - 1 |
| Wvs KC | 8 - 7 |
| W@ BAL | 11 - 1 |
| W@ BAL | 6 - 0 |
| L@ BAL | 2 - 5 |
| L@ CIN | 0 - 6 |
| L@ CIN | 2 - 7 |
| W@ CIN | 12 - 2 |
| W@ CIN | 5 - 1 |
| Lvs MIL | 1 - 3 |
| Wvs MIL | 4 - 2 |
| Lvs MIL | 5 - 6 |
| Wvs MIN | 4 - 1 |
| Lvs MIN | 1 - 2 |
| Wvs MIN | 2 - 0 |
| W@ ARI | 6 - 4 |
| W@ ARI | 8 - 7 |
| W@ ARI | 9 - 8 |
| W@ SF | 12 - 5 |
| W@ SF | 8 - 5 |
| W@ SF | 4 - 2 |
| Wvs ATL | 5 - 3 |
| Lvs ATL | 0 - 7 |
| Wvs ATL | 6 - 2 |
| Lvs PHI | 1 - 2 |
| Lvs PHI | 2 - 4 |
| Wvs PHI | 8 - 3 |
| Lvs PHI | 2 - 5 |
| W@ WAS | 3 - 1 |
| W@ WAS | 4 - 3 |
| W@ WAS | 11 - 9 |
| L@ PIT | 2 - 5 |
| W@ PIT | 3 - 2 |
| L@ PIT | 3 - 10 |
| L@ TB | 2 - 3 |
| W@ TB | 11 - 10 |
| L@ TB | 3 - 4 |
| Lvs COL | 2 - 3 |
| Lvs COL | 2 - 3 |
| Lvs COL | 4 - 6 |
| Lvs SF | 2 - 4 |
| Wvs SF | 1 - 0 |
| Lvs SF | 0 - 2 |
| W@ SD | 10 - 8 |
| L@ SD | 6 - 8 |
| L@ SD | 3 - 4 |
| W@ LAA | 3 - 0 |
| W@ LAA | 6 - 2 |
| L@ LAA | 4 - 7 |
| Lvs CHC | 1 - 2 |
| Lvs CHC | 1 - 14 |
| Wvs CHC | 8 - 7 |
| Wvs TB | 5 - 1 |
| Lvs TB | 0 - 4 |
| Wvs TB | 9 - 4 |
| W@ CHC | 3 - 1 |
| L@ CHC | 4 - 5 |
| L@ CHC | 2 - 5 |
| L@ CWS | 2 - 4 |
| W@ CWS | 3 - 1 |
| L@ CWS | 2 - 6 |
| Lvs LAD | 1 - 10 |
| Wvs LAD | 5 - 4 |
| Lvs LAD | 4 - 7 |
| Lvs OAK | 2 - 3 |
| Wvs OAK | 9 - 6 |
| Lvs OAK | 1 - 6 |
| L@ LAD | 7 - 12 |
| L@ LAD | 2 - 15 |
| L@ LAD | 6 - 7 |
| L@ SEA | 6 - 7 |
| L@ SEA | 0 - 14 |
| W@ SEA | 8 - 4 |
| Lvs CIN | 2 - 5 |
| Wvs CIN | 4 - 3 |
| Wvs CIN | 6 - 3 |
| W@ PHI | 7 - 5 |
| L@ PHI | 10 - 11 |
| L@ PHI | 2 - 7 |
| Lvs ARI | 4 - 6 |
| Lvs ARI | 2 - 6 |
| Lvs ARI | 4 - 10 |
| Wvs WAS | 11 - 4 |
| Wvs WAS | 7 - 6 |
| Lvs WAS | 4 - 7 |
| W@ NYM | 5 - 0 |
| L@ NYM | 5 - 10 |
| L@ NYM | 0 - 2 |
| W@ ATL | 4 - 0 |
| L@ ATL | 0 - 10 |
| Lvs NYM | 5 - 6 |
| Wvs NYM | 4 - 2 |
| Lvs NYM | 4 - 10 |
| Wvs PIT | 3 - 2 |
| Wvs PIT | 5 - 4 |
| Lvs PIT | 3 - 4 |
| Wvs PIT | 5 - 4 |