AI Game Overview
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the diamond. I’m thrilled to set the stage for what promises to be a high-stakes clash under the lights this April 17th. We are heading to the Steel City as the Tampa Bay Rays make the trek north to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates in a pivotal regular-season showdown.
As we navigate the 2026 campaign, both clubs are looking to establish their identity and climb the divisional standings. The Rays, known for their tactical precision and relentless depth, are looking to impose their will on the road, while the Pirates are eager to defend their home turf and capitalize on the energy of the Pittsburgh faithful.
Now, I know you’re looking for the edge—the numbers that tell the story before the first pitch is thrown. Interestingly, the oddsmakers are keeping their cards close to the vest for this one; with the moneyline, point spread, and over/under currently off the board, the experts are signaling that this matchup is as unpredictable as it gets. Without a clear favorite defined by the books, we are looking at a true "pick 'em" scenario where momentum, starting pitching, and late-inning execution will be the ultimate deciders.
Whether it’s the Rays’ disciplined approach or the Pirates’ grit in the middle of the season, this game is a blank canvas. Grab your popcorn, settle in, and get ready—because when these two teams meet on the 17th, the only thing we know for sure is that anything can happen between the white lines.
Play ball!
AI Matchup Overview
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Win Probability Charts
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The Tampa Bay Rays and Pittsburgh Pirates enter this matchup with nearly identical early-season form, holding records of 9-7 and 10-7 respectively. While the Rays dominated the 2025 series against the Pirates by winning two of three games with strong pitching performances, the current 2026 standings suggest a very tight contest. Pittsburgh holds a slight edge in the win column, but both teams have demonstrated the ability to play consistent baseball. Given the Pirates are playing at home and have maintained a marginally better winning percentage, this game will likely be decided by which pitching staff can better control the strike zone in a low-scoring affair.
Previous Matchups
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Current Season Games
TB
| W@ CWS | 8 - 5 |
| Lvs NYY | - |
| Lvs NYY | - |
| Lvs NYY | - |
| Lvs CHC | 2 - 6 |
| Lvs CHC | 2 - 9 |
| Wvs CHC | 6 - 4 |
| W@ MIN | 4 - 1 |
| W@ MIN | 7 - 1 |
| L@ MIN | 4 - 10 |
| L@ MIL | 2 - 8 |
| L@ MIL | 2 - 6 |
| W@ MIL | 3 - 2 |
| W@ STL | 11 - 7 |
| L@ STL | 5 - 6 |
| L@ STL | 7 - 9 |
PIT
| Wvs WAS | 16 - 5 |
| L@ CHC | - |
| L@ CHC | - |
| L@ CHC | - |
| Lvs SD | 2 - 8 |
| Wvs SD | 7 - 1 |
| Lvs SD | 0 - 5 |
| Wvs BAL | 8 - 2 |
| Wvs BAL | 3 - 2 |
| Wvs BAL | 5 - 4 |
| W@ CIN | 8 - 3 |
| L@ CIN | 0 - 2 |
| L@ CIN | 0 - 2 |
| W@ NYM | 4 - 3 |
| L@ NYM | 2 - 4 |
| L@ NYM | 7 - 11 |
Previous Season Games
TB
| L@ TOR | 4 - 13 |
| L@ TOR | 1 - 5 |
| L@ TOR | 2 - 4 |
| L@ BAL | 5 - 6 |
| W@ BAL | 6 - 2 |
| L@ BAL | 0 - 6 |
| Wvs BOS | 7 - 3 |
| Lvs BOS | 3 - 6 |
| Lvs BOS | 7 - 11 |
| Wvs TOR | 4 - 0 |
| Wvs TOR | 2 - 1 |
| Lvs TOR | 5 - 6 |
| Lvs TOR | 1 - 2 |
| L@ CHC | 3 - 4 |
| W@ CHC | 5 - 4 |
| L@ CHC | 4 - 6 |
| L@ CWS | 1 - 5 |
| L@ CWS | 5 - 6 |
| W@ CWS | 5 - 4 |
| Lvs CLE | 1 - 2 |
| Lvs CLE | 2 - 3 |
| Lvs CLE | 1 - 7 |
| Wvs CLE | 4 - 2 |
| Wvs SEA | 9 - 4 |
| Wvs SEA | 6 - 5 |
| Wvs SEA | 10 - 2 |
| W@ WAS | 7 - 4 |
| W@ WAS | 4 - 1 |
| W@ WAS | 4 - 1 |
| L@ CLE | 3 - 4 |
| L@ CLE | 0 - 3 |
| W@ CLE | 9 - 0 |
| Wvs STL | 7 - 2 |
| Wvs STL | 10 - 6 |
| Lvs STL | 4 - 7 |
| Lvs NYY | 4 - 6 |
| Lvs NYY | 3 - 13 |
| L@ SF | 1 - 7 |
| W@ SF | 2 - 1 |
| W@ SF | 7 - 6 |
| W@ OAK | 8 - 2 |
| L@ OAK | 0 - 6 |
| W@ OAK | 7 - 4 |
| L@ SEA | 3 - 6 |
| L@ SEA | 4 - 7 |
| L@ SEA | 2 - 3 |
| W@ LAA | 5 - 4 |
| W@ LAA | 7 - 3 |
| L@ LAA | 1 - 5 |
| Lvs LAD | 0 - 3 |
| Wvs LAD | 4 - 0 |
| Lvs LAD | 0 - 5 |
| L@ NYY | 4 - 7 |
| L@ NYY | 4 - 5 |
| L@ NYY | 5 - 7 |
| W@ NYY | 4 - 2 |
| L@ CIN | 1 - 2 |
| L@ CIN | 2 - 6 |
| L@ CIN | 2 - 7 |
| Lvs CWS | 9 - 11 |
| Wvs CWS | 4 - 3 |
| Lvs CWS | 3 - 8 |
| Lvs BAL | 3 - 5 |
| Wvs BAL | 4 - 3 |
| Wvs BAL | 11 - 1 |
| L@ BOS | 1 - 4 |
| L@ BOS | 0 - 1 |
| L@ BOS | 4 - 5 |
| L@ BOS | 3 - 4 |
| W@ DET | 7 - 3 |
| L@ DET | 2 - 4 |
| L@ DET | 1 - 5 |
| W@ MIN | 7 - 5 |
| L@ MIN | 5 - 6 |
| L@ MIN | 3 - 4 |
| Wvs OAK | 6 - 5 |
| Lvs OAK | 3 - 4 |
| Lvs OAK | 4 - 6 |
| L@ BAL | 1 - 5 |
| W@ BAL | 11 - 3 |
| L@ BAL | 8 - 22 |
| W@ KC | 4 - 0 |
| W@ KC | 3 - 0 |
| W@ KC | 5 - 1 |
| Lvs DET | 3 - 9 |
| Wvs DET | 8 - 3 |
| Wvs DET | 14 - 8 |
| Lvs BAL | 1 - 4 |
| Wvs BAL | 12 - 8 |
| Lvs BAL | 1 - 5 |
| Wvs BAL | 7 - 1 |
| W@ NYM | 9 - 0 |
| W@ NYM | 8 - 4 |
| W@ NYM | 7 - 5 |
| L@ BOS | 3 - 4 |
| L@ BOS | 1 - 3 |
| W@ BOS | 10 - 8 |
| Wvs MIA | 3 - 2 |
| Lvs MIA | 10 - 11 |
| Wvs MIA | 4 - 3 |
| Wvs TEX | 4 - 3 |
| Wvs TEX | 5 - 4 |
| Wvs TEX | 5 - 1 |
| L@ HOU | 0 - 1 |
| W@ HOU | 16 - 3 |
| L@ HOU | 1 - 2 |
| W@ HOU | 13 - 3 |
| Wvs MIN | 5 - 0 |
| Lvs MIN | 2 - 4 |
| Wvs MIN | 7 - 2 |
| Wvs TOR | 13 - 0 |
| Wvs TOR | 3 - 1 |
| Wvs TOR | 3 - 1 |
| Wvs HOU | 8 - 4 |
| Wvs HOU | 3 - 2 |
| Lvs HOU | 3 - 4 |
| L@ MIA | 1 - 5 |
| W@ MIA | 4 - 0 |
| L@ MIA | 4 - 9 |
| W@ TOR | 8 - 3 |
| L@ TOR | 1 - 3 |
| W@ TOR | 11 - 9 |
| Lvs MIL | 2 - 4 |
| Wvs MIL | 3 - 2 |
| Wvs MIL | 4 - 3 |
| Lvs PHI | 6 - 7 |
| Lvs PHI | 0 - 7 |
| Lvs PHI | 4 - 8 |
| W@ NYY | 7 - 5 |
| W@ NYY | 3 - 2 |
| L@ NYY | 0 - 3 |
| Lvs KC | 2 - 8 |
| Lvs KC | 0 - 3 |
| Lvs KC | 1 - 3 |
| W@ SD | 4 - 2 |
| W@ SD | 4 - 1 |
| W@ SD | 1 - 0 |
| W@ ARI | 7 - 4 |
| W@ ARI | 7 - 6 |
| L@ ARI | 1 - 5 |
| Lvs NYY | 0 - 4 |
| Wvs NYY | 10 - 8 |
| Lvs NYY | 0 - 1 |
| Lvs NYY | 3 - 6 |
| Lvs BOS | 0 - 1 |
| Lvs BOS | 4 - 7 |
| Wvs BOS | 16 - 1 |
| Wvs ATL | 8 - 3 |
| Lvs ATL | 4 - 5 |
| Wvs ATL | 6 - 3 |
| Lvs LAA | 1 - 11 |
| Wvs LAA | 5 - 4 |
| Lvs LAA | 3 - 4 |
| L@ TEX | 3 - 4 |
| L@ TEX | 4 - 6 |
| L@ TEX | 2 - 5 |
| Lvs PIT | 2 - 4 |
| Wvs PIT | 7 - 0 |
| Wvs PIT | 6 - 1 |
| Wvs COL | 6 - 4 |
| Lvs COL | 1 - 2 |
| Wvs COL | 3 - 2 |
PIT
| L@ ATL | 1 - 4 |
| W@ ATL | 3 - 1 |
| W@ ATL | 9 - 3 |
| L@ CIN | 1 - 2 |
| W@ CIN | 4 - 3 |
| W@ CIN | 4 - 2 |
| Wvs OAK | 11 - 0 |
| Wvs OAK | 2 - 0 |
| Lvs OAK | 3 - 4 |
| Lvs CHC | 4 - 8 |
| Lvs CHC | 1 - 4 |
| Lvs CHC | 0 - 4 |
| L@ WAS | 3 - 4 |
| W@ WAS | 5 - 1 |
| L@ WAS | 5 - 6 |
| L@ BAL | 2 - 3 |
| L@ BAL | 1 - 2 |
| L@ BAL | 2 - 3 |
| Lvs MIL | 2 - 10 |
| Lvs MIL | 1 - 4 |
| Lvs MIL | 2 - 5 |
| Wvs LAD | 5 - 3 |
| Wvs LAD | 3 - 0 |
| Wvs LAD | 9 - 7 |
| L@ BOS | 2 - 5 |
| W@ BOS | 10 - 3 |
| W@ BOS | 4 - 2 |
| L@ STL | 1 - 4 |
| W@ STL | 2 - 1 |
| W@ STL | 8 - 3 |
| L@ STL | 6 - 7 |
| Wvs COL | 4 - 0 |
| Wvs COL | 5 - 1 |
| Wvs COL | 9 - 0 |
| Wvs TOR | 2 - 1 |
| Lvs TOR | 3 - 7 |
| Wvs TOR | 5 - 2 |
| L@ CHC | 3 - 4 |
| L@ CHC | 1 - 3 |
| W@ CHC | 3 - 2 |
| L@ MIL | 5 - 12 |
| L@ MIL | 0 - 14 |
| L@ MIL | 1 - 7 |
| Lvs CIN | 8 - 14 |
| Lvs CIN | 1 - 2 |
| Wvs CIN | 3 - 2 |
| Wvs CIN | 7 - 0 |
| Lvs SF | 2 - 4 |
| Lvs SF | 1 - 8 |
| Wvs SF | 5 - 4 |
| W@ COL | 9 - 5 |
| L@ COL | 5 - 8 |
| L@ COL | 16 - 17 |
| W@ SF | 2 - 1 |
| W@ SF | 3 - 1 |
| W@ SF | 6 - 5 |
| Wvs ARI | 6 - 0 |
| Wvs ARI | 2 - 0 |
| Lvs ARI | 0 - 1 |
| Wvs DET | 6 - 1 |
| Wvs DET | 8 - 5 |
| Wvs DET | 3 - 0 |
| Lvs CWS | 2 - 7 |
| Lvs CWS | 4 - 10 |
| Lvs CWS | 1 - 10 |
| W@ MIN | 2 - 1 |
| L@ MIN | 4 - 12 |
| L@ MIN | 1 - 2 |
| L@ KC | 3 - 4 |
| L@ KC | 3 - 4 |
| L@ KC | 3 - 9 |
| L@ SEA | 0 - 1 |
| L@ SEA | 0 - 1 |
| L@ SEA | 0 - 6 |
| Wvs STL | 5 - 0 |
| Wvs STL | 1 - 0 |
| Wvs STL | 7 - 0 |
| Wvs NYM | 12 - 1 |
| Wvs NYM | 9 - 2 |
| Wvs NYM | 9 - 1 |
| L@ MIL | 2 - 4 |
| L@ MIL | 3 - 9 |
| W@ MIL | 5 - 4 |
| Wvs TEX | 8 - 3 |
| Lvs TEX | 2 - 3 |
| Lvs TEX | 2 - 6 |
| W@ DET | 8 - 4 |
| L@ DET | 2 - 9 |
| L@ DET | 3 - 7 |
| L@ CHC | 2 - 3 |
| L@ CHC | 1 - 2 |
| W@ CHC | 2 - 1 |
| L@ CHC | 2 - 3 |
| Wvs MIA | 5 - 2 |
| Lvs MIA | 2 - 3 |
| Wvs MIA | 10 - 3 |
| Wvs PHI | 2 - 1 |
| Wvs PHI | 2 - 1 |
| Wvs PHI | 5 - 4 |
| Lvs HOU | 2 - 8 |
| Wvs HOU | 3 - 0 |
| Lvs HOU | 0 - 3 |
| L@ SD | 4 - 6 |
| W@ SD | 5 - 0 |
| L@ SD | 2 - 3 |
| W@ ARI | 10 - 1 |
| W@ ARI | 9 - 6 |
| L@ ARI | 0 - 5 |
| Lvs MIL | 5 - 6 |
| Wvs MIL | 2 - 1 |
| Wvs MIL | 6 - 5 |
| Lvs MIL | 5 - 8 |
| Wvs CIN | 3 - 1 |
| Wvs CIN | 1 - 0 |
| Lvs CIN | 1 - 7 |
| L@ PHI | 0 - 1 |
| L@ PHI | 2 - 5 |
| L@ PHI | 4 - 8 |
| W@ NYM | 4 - 0 |
| L@ NYM | 1 - 2 |
| L@ NYM | 3 - 4 |
| Wvs ATL | 4 - 3 |
| Lvs ATL | 2 - 3 |
| Wvs ATL | 3 - 2 |
| L@ STL | 0 - 5 |
| L@ STL | 1 - 2 |
| L@ STL | 3 - 6 |
| Lvs SD | 0 - 4 |
| Lvs SD | 1 - 2 |
| Lvs SD | 4 - 9 |
| Lvs CHC | 3 - 8 |
| Wvs CHC | 4 - 3 |
| Lvs CHC | 0 - 9 |
| L@ LAD | 2 - 9 |
| L@ LAD | 4 - 8 |
| W@ LAD | 3 - 0 |
| L@ LAA | 3 - 4 |
| W@ LAA | 3 - 0 |
| W@ LAA | 9 - 3 |
| Lvs CLE | 4 - 5 |
| Lvs CLE | 0 - 3 |
| Lvs CLE | 7 - 10 |
| Wvs WAS | 1 - 0 |
| Wvs WAS | 6 - 1 |
| Lvs WAS | 0 - 3 |
| Wvs WAS | 10 - 3 |
| L@ CIN | 0 - 4 |
| L@ CIN | 2 - 5 |
| L@ CIN | 3 - 5 |
| Wvs STL | 2 - 1 |
| Lvs STL | 3 - 5 |
| Wvs STL | 8 - 4 |
| Wvs NYY | 5 - 4 |
| Lvs NYY | 4 - 10 |
| Lvs NYY | 4 - 9 |
| W@ TB | 4 - 2 |
| L@ TB | 0 - 7 |
| L@ TB | 1 - 6 |
| L@ MIA | 2 - 3 |
| L@ MIA | 4 - 5 |
| W@ MIA | 4 - 3 |
| L@ MIA | 4 - 5 |